# What are the eight steps of Wigmore analysis translated to science? # What are the eight steps of Wigmore analysis translated to science ### Steps of the Wigmore Guide 1. Read statement of facts 2. Read what person is accused of and definition of that fact 3. List possible defenses against the charge 4. Lay out the ultimate question to be proved and the penultimate questions * Each question has a evidential fact counterpart - *factum probans* * You know that you have found all the lower level questions if all of them answered positively would undoubtably prove the higher level question 5. Consider the evidence in relation to the probanda and formulate questions 6. Connect the ultimate fact to the penultimate facts 7. Link evidence to the penultimate facts directly or through deduction or induction 8. Defense possibilities go to the side and target different parts ### Analogous Roadmapping Steps 1. Draw the map 1. Listing relevant physical constraints 2. Categorizing state of the art per [[Longevity FAQ Making Of]] or [[Climate Technology Primer]] per [[Adam Marblestone Podcast 2020-03-31]] 2. Define the vision 1. As much precision as possible is important * [[Precise language enables progress]] * [[Make precise predictions]] 3. This one is hard - is it research programs? Tricks that can bridge between different levels. 4. Lay out the component modules that would need to exist for the vision to be a reality * In the same way that you know that you’ve found all the lower level questions if all of them answered positively would undoubtably prove the higher level question, you know that you have all the modules if the combination of them would leave zero “what about …” for the technology 5. Consider the map with respect to the modules and formulate possible hypotheses, tests, and questions 6. Write down the projects it would take to get from the intermediate modules to the final module? 7. Link current state things to the intermediate modules *and something about constraints* Something about modules vs. evolution