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The value of planning is inversely proportional to the cost of experimenting
Program design is like creating the lego instruction book
Instead of planning not working as well as people in the past thought, as a society we’ve become worse at technological planning
Program design is a coordination tool
What role does scenario planning have in technological program design?
Physical experiments are expensive
The distinction between areas, programs, and projects
Maps help you figure out possibilities
Enabling Mission Impact - Funding Strategies for High-Risk High-Reward Innovation
Top of mind
How do you measure real progress in research?
The tech tree model suggests that explicitly drawing out tech trees is important
Explaining things like I’m five helps avoid the Einstellung Effect
A predictably successful idea is composed of known unknowns that that a team can execute against
Planning to Start vs Planning to Finish
Say ‘X is more important than Y’ instead of ‘X is important’
What are the different kinds of bottlenecks?
Top of Mind Questions